Mining Fleet Simulator - ELEKTRON Analytics

Data is not guaranteed, and calculations will be off and sometimes wrong. Nothing here is investment advice. Use at your own risk. Full disclaimer

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BUILD YOUR FLEET

Model TH/s W/TH $/TH

Loading ASICs...

Fleet Summary

⛏️

No machines added

Click "Add" on ASICs to build your fleet

Total Hashrate

0 TH/s

Total Power

0 MW

Avg Efficiency

0 W/TH

Fleet Cost

$0

Cost in BTC

0 BTC

Machines

0

SIMULATION PARAMETERS

Strategy & Setup

Accumulate BTC, mark-to-market valuation

Horizon

Simulations

OPEX % of rev

Pool Fee %

Don't mine at a loss

Tax & Hosting Optional

Enable Tax Calculations

BTC Price (Annualized) Historical

Current Price $—

Mean Return %

Volatility %

Distribution

Network Hashrate (Annualized) Historical

Current — EH/s

Mean Growth %

Volatility %

Distribution

Energy Cost Default

Initial Price ¢/kWh

Mean Drift %

Volatility %

Distribution

SIMULATION RESULTS — simulations, — years

Initial Investment

—

— BTC

Expected Final Value

—

—

Median Outcome

—

50th percentile

95% CI Low

—

Worst 5%

95% CI High

—

Best 5%

Prob. Profit
—%
Above breakeven

Running Monte Carlo Simulation

0%

Initializing...

Portfolio Value Projection (USD)

MINING VS JUST BUYING BTC Same capital investment comparison

Capital Invested

—

BTC Price at Start

—

Investment Horizon

—

Simulations Run

—

⛏️ Mining Fleet
Final Value (median)
—
Total Profit (median)
—
ROI (median)
—
CAGR (median)
—
BTC Accumulated
—
Sharpe Ratio
—

₿ Just Buy BTC

Final Value (median)

—

Total Profit (median)

—

ROI (median)

—

CAGR (median)

—

BTC Held

—

Price Multiple

—

🏆 Analysis

Better Strategy

—

Extra Return vs BTC

—

Prob. Mining Wins

—

Extra BTC from Mining

—

Break-even BTC Price

—

Risk-Adjusted Alpha

—

Return Distribution

BTC Treasury Over Time

VARIABLE PROJECTIONS Cone charts showing mean with 90% confidence intervals

BTC Price Projection

Start—

End—

Change—

P(higher)—

Network Hashrate Projection

Start—

End—

Change—

P(2×)—

Energy Cost Projection

Start—

End—

Change—

90% Range—

Hashprice Projection

Start—

End—

Change—

90% Range—

MONTHLY CASHFLOW

Monthly Cashflow (USD)

Monthly Cashflow (BTC)

PROBABILITY ANALYSIS

Upside Scenarios

Profitable (>0%) —

Return > 50% —

Return > 100% (2x) —

Return > 200% (3x) —

Return > 500% (6x) —

Downside Scenarios

Loss (< 0%) —

Loss > 25% —

Loss > 50% —

Loss > 75% —

Beat BTC Strategy —

DETAILED STATISTICS

Metric	Mean	Median	Std Dev	5th %ile	95th %ile	Min	Max
Run simulation to see results

PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Tornado Analysis

How to read: This analysis shows which variables have the biggest impact on your ROI. Each bar represents how ROI changes when that variable is varied by the selected percentage from the base case. Longer bars = higher sensitivity = focus your risk management here.

Variation ± 20%

Simulations

ROI Sensitivity Tornado Chart Impact of ±20% change in each variable

ROI Impact Summary

Variable	-20%	+20%	Range	Elasticity

Key Insights & Recommendations

DETAILED SCENARIOS

BTC Price Growth Impact

Hashrate Growth Impact

Energy Cost Impact

3D SURFACE ANALYSIS

ROI Surface BTC Growth vs Hashrate Growth

📊
Click "Generate 3D Surfaces" above

                                49 scenarios (7×7 grid) — ~30-45 seconds
                            

Mining vs Buying BTC Purple = Mining wins • Gold = BTC wins

⛏️ vs ₿
Generate 3D Surfaces to see this chart

                                Mining outperformance vs simply buying BTC
                            

This site is beta software. All data, prices, charts, calculators, models and simulations are provided “as is”, with no guarantee of accuracy, completeness or timeliness, and may be delayed, incomplete or wrong. Calculations will be off, and some will be wrong. Nothing on this site is investment, financial, tax or legal advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any asset, security or equipment. Verify everything independently and consult a qualified professional before making any decision. To the fullest extent permitted by law, Elektron Energy accepts no liability for any loss arising from use of, or reliance on, this site.